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Bitcoin whale accumulation reaches pre-2020 bull run levels — Is BTC set to break $70K?

CointelegraphCointelegraph2024/06/12 16:46
By:Zoltan Vardai

Bitcoin ( BTC ) accumulation by large holders has reached levels not seen since before the 2020 bull market. Could it propel Bitcoin price to a breakout above the $70,000 mark?

Bitcoin whale accumulation reached 2020 levels

Bitcoin accumulation by whales, or entities holding at least 1,000 BTC, has hit a nearly four-year high last seen during 2020, according to a Bitfinex research report shared with Cointelegraph.

Referencing the below chart, the Bitfinex analysts wrote:

“Adding another layer to this bullish sentiment, Bitcoin "whales" are also accumulating Bitcoin at a pace reminiscent of the pre-2020 bull run. This accumulation, now at its highest in the last two months, has led to a new historical high in their Bitcoin balance.”
Bitcoin Total Whale Holdings and Monthly Percent Change Source: Cryptoquant

Factors like an anticipated interest rate cut and increased institutional buying could lead to more upward momentum for Bitcoin, according to Bitfinex analysts:

“Looking forward, several factors could potentially reignite Bitcoin's upward trajectory. These include an increase in average daily ETF buying activity, a reduction in selling pressure from long-term holders, and a rise in liquidity, which could be triggered by the anticipated rate cut.”

On June 10, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States recorded their first day of net outflows in over 19 consecutive trading days. The 11 U.S. ETFs saw $64.9 million worth of outflows, according to Farside Investors.

On June 11, the U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw over $200 million worth of negative net outflows.

Bitcoin ETF Flow Table. Source: Farside

Related: 63 US banks on the brink of insolvency: Why Bitcoin’s next target is $100K

Bitcoin short-term holder realized price at $63.7K

Bitcoin has successfully confirmed the $66,000 mark as its new support on the weekly chart, according to popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital.

The analyst wrote in a June 12 X post , to his 476,000 followers:

“Bitcoin has successfully retested the black Mid-Range as support (~$66,000) on the recent pullback. Any downside volatility below black is bonus territory.”
BTC weekly support. Source: Rekt Capital

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s short-term holder realized price rose to $63,729 on June 11, according to LookIntoBitcoin . During bull cycles, the short-term holder realized price often acts as a dynamic support line for Bitcoin price.

Bitcoin: Short-term holder realized price. Source: LookIntoBitcoin

But, Bitcoin price has been stuck despite the increasing realized price, mainly due to the distribution of older coins, according to Thomas Fahrer, the co-founder of Apollo. He wrote in a June 12 X post :

“We simply have to wait it out until we complete the market 'reset ' which sets a new floor. Then $65,000 - $70,000 becomes a base much in the same way $10,000 became a base in 2020.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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